9, February 2020
Ireland: Sinn Fein’s surge in general election leaves three parties tied 0
Support for left-wing Irish nationalists Sinn Fein surged in an election on Saturday, leaving it tied with the party of Prime Minister Leo Varadkar but unlikely to emerge with the highest number of seats, an exit poll showed.
Instead Varadkar’s Fine Gael is likely to compete with fellow centre-right rival Fianna Fail to secure the most seats and the right to try to form a coalition government – a task analysts called extremely difficult.
The Ipsos MRBI exit poll showed Fine Gael on 22.4%, Sinn Fein on 22.3% and pre-election favourites Fianna Fail on 22.2%.
Sinn Fein, the former political wing of the Irish Republican Army (IRA), is likely to fall behind the other two parties because it fielded far fewer candidates.
Still, its breakthrough represents a major realignment of Irish politics, which for a century has been dominated by Fine Gael and Fianna Fail.
“It’s a very, very good result for Sinn Fein… but even though it is a statistical tie, we would expect Fine Gael and Fianna Fail to fight it out to get the most seats,” said Gary Murphy, Professor of Politics at Dublin City University.
Fianna Fail has ruled out going into coalition for the first time with Fine Gael and both parties say they will not govern with Sinn Fein, meaning there is no obvious government to be formed, he added.
“There are very rocky times ahead,” he said.
‘Historical election’
Counting begins at 0900 GMT on Sunday with some results expected from early afternoon. The final and potentially decisive seats in Ireland’s 160-member parliament may not be filled until Monday or even later.
Fine Gael and Fianna Fail have said they will look to smaller parties to form what would likely be another minority government requiring support of one of the two main parties from the opposition benches.
The parties have swapped power at every election since emerging from the opposing sides of Ireland’s 1920s civil war. They have similar policies on the economy and Brexit trade talks.
Sinn Fein has moved on from the long leadership of Gerry Adams, seen by many as the face of a bloody IRA war against British rule in Northern Ireland. Its candidates were the biggest gainers by vote share, up from 14% at the last election in 2016.
With Fine Gael and Fianna Fail marginally down, the outcome demonstrated some appetite for change.
“The days of Fine Gael and Fianna Fail dominating Irish politics are over,” Fine Gael parliamentary party chairman Martin Heydon told national broadcaster RTE.
“Our elections are becoming more volatile. More like a lot of other European countries. The ability to form governments is going to be hard after this.”
A new generation of politicians led by Mary Lou McDonald spearheaded the groundswell of support for Sinn Fein, particularly among younger voters on the defining election issue of the cost and availability of housing.
Her deputy leader in the Irish parliament, Pearse Doherty, said the exit poll represented a vote of “a historic nature” for the party.
“You can see in the figures there today that there is a mood for change,” he told RTE.
Source: REUTERS
9, February 2020
Ambazonia Interim Gov’t hails boycott of French Cameroun February twin poll 0
The Southern Cameroons Interim Government in exile on Sunday hailed the huge success in the lockdown against French Cameroun teleguided elections in the territory.
Addressing a cream of Southern Cameroonian elites in Holland, Vice President Dabney Yerima declared “Glory and immortality for our Ambazonian martyr and jailed leaders” after reading aloud a report about the complete boycott of the so-called twin poll in Southern Cameroons.
Cameroon government sources speaking on condition of anonymity indicated that Biya may soon be forced to change his Anglophone policy or pushed out of power in Yaoundé.
Vice President Dabney Yerima also spoke of a new plan to map a new Ambazonia Interim Government strategy backed by key Southern Cameroons think tanks in Europe, South Africa and the United States. A move that will definitely signal an escalation in self defense operations against the Francophone dominated Cameroon government army.
Comrade Yerima revealed that prior to the French Cameroun elections, pro Yaoundé militias operating in Southern Cameroons and elements of the Rapid Intervention Battalion (BIR) stepped up attacks against innocent Southern Cameroons civilians with troops loyal to the Biya regime firing French-designed rockets from Mbouda in East Cameroun into the Mezam County.
The Southern Cameroons second-in-command condemned Prime Minister Dion Ngute for holding a campaign rally in La Republique du Cameroun’s self-designated security zone in Buea.
Sunday’s session of the “Ambazonia Interim Government Briefing” was devoted mainly to the elections in Ground Zero. Vice President Dabney Yerima noted that the success of the boycott will begin a new process to tackle the crucial task of restoring unity to the many Southern Cameroons factions.
Yerima furthered that the Ambazonia leader, President Sisiku Ayuk Tabe long agreed to a political and organizational reforms to cement the unity drive among all Southern Cameroons groups.
Amba News Update:
The Yaounde-organized elections flopped. Here are the statistics from a loyal ELECAM official:
1. 98% of Rural Ambazonia DID NOT Participate
2. 90% of Urban Ambazonia DID NOT Participate.
This gives a boycott rate of 98.45%; meaning there was a miserable 1.55% turnout.
Now, out of the 1.55%, a majority was soldiers and French Cameroun civilians paid and ferried across the Mungo
Cameroon Concord News Update
• Buea is a graveyard. The silence is deafening. The churches and so called polling stations were empty. No elections whatsoever.
• Kumba is a Ghost town. Only SDO out voting. Early morning gunshots from self-defence forces.
• Mamfe Extremely Quiet. Only Mayor and SDO with foreign occupiers out.
• Victoria is deadly silent. No movement.
• Muyuka is a no go area.
Scandy Media Elections boycott updates:
1. Gunshots in Kumba, Buea, Alakuka, Mbengwi, Rendez Vous, Kumbo,etc The case of Mbengwi saw a police officer shot but rushed to the hospital.
2. Mile 7 & 8 Mankon started as early as 3 am as well as Buea 2 am : Prisoners are transported in Buea to go and vote to deceive the world :
3: Bafut had the post office visited by the consortium of fire 🔥 simply because voting materials were hidden inside the building
4: Muyuka is not left out as joint forces in collaboration with most barracks and their Generals fires gunshots to chase those ferried from French Cameroun to cast votes:
5: In Mbah – Kumbo Commander Capo of Bui and his boys transported, mounted then fired explosives that echoed all over Kumbo :
6: Victoria started in a good footing with almost everywhere shutdown this morning: We are told some CPDM enablers are in a conclave planning to open at least 4 polling stations with some few at the barracks but the feedback so far is positive
7: Most polling stations have been hit and boxes destroyed by Bui warriors causing the regime to dispatch at least 4 armored cars that are now hiding their election officers in neighborhoods around Nji
By Asu Isong in London